Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1971.163013 2151.250592 2335.384609 2537.454230 2752.688459 2974.807923 3221.073202
2024-10-20 1676.207944 1939.834038 2221.200867 2542.739800 2898.877153 3280.132627 3717.987327
2024-10-27 1429.549590 1732.146640 2066.008103 2459.416813 2907.962661 3401.105874 3981.866594
2024-11-03 1338.062408 1681.324866 2070.037421 2539.034319 3085.639920 3698.675632 4434.129428
2024-11-10 1248.231724 1620.918011 2052.923537 2585.173875 3217.522619 3939.017531 4818.396924
2024-11-17 1147.616413 1538.033496 2000.762510 2582.180569 3285.365384 4100.452365 5108.317358
2024-11-24 1047.654737 1447.789988 1932.314637 2552.629006 3315.565341 4213.042041 5337.671372
2024-12-01 986.416721 1400.990917 1912.630623 2578.500961 3409.492151 4399.493523 5654.255367
2024-12-08 920.102046 1342.854938 1874.472616 2577.534204 3467.412322 4540.555445 5915.530787
2024-12-15 882.418101 1319.284366 1877.803668 2626.850541 3586.575445 4756.107769 6268.512175
2024-12-22 820.467142 1259.330805 1830.540020 2608.198178 3617.612835 4861.361825 6485.455543
2024-12-29 795.820980 1248.357907 1846.103337 2669.915793 3750.541809 5093.910761 6861.776895
2025-01-05 751.083680 1207.868164 1821.420084 2678.780579 3816.733680 5245.420118 7141.814918
2025-01-12 708.254301 1167.696602 1795.185226 2684.037493 3877.449791 5390.221047 7414.995705
2025-01-19 637.422493 1082.921077 1703.622482 2597.164599 3813.224796 5372.086160 7478.793275
2025-01-26 627.909192 1087.660775 1736.486563 2680.171920 3975.521404 5647.773486 7921.416030
2025-02-02 608.028201 1075.558339 1744.528228 2728.264468 4090.931812 5863.251694 8288.327588
2025-02-09 573.958921 1039.861187 1717.005935 2725.144712 4135.881800 5985.986547 8535.379465
2025-02-16 534.273663 993.163468 1671.349488 2694.342903 4141.257021 6055.321843 8712.253304
2025-02-23 513.420348 975.020745 1666.699357 2721.309614 4225.999184 6230.526992 9029.543973
2025-03-02 486.381605 945.385402 1643.517392 2720.301996 4270.975114 6352.222265 9276.600682
2025-03-09 474.537939 939.939237 1656.392029 2771.698177 4389.802393 6574.454275 9659.362377
2025-03-16 445.730588 904.640879 1622.120809 2752.260268 4407.363391 6658.723714 9857.669030